Ambiguity Aversion, Company Size and the Pricing of Earnings Forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Ambiguity aversion, company size and the pricing of earnings forecasts
Several authors have reported an unconditional size effect in returns around earnings announcements. In this study we show how this finding can be understood as resulting from ambiguity aversion. We hypothesize that analyst forecasts for smaller companies are relatively more ambiguous; hence they are priced pessimistically by ambiguity-averse investors. As the quarter comes to a close and ambig...
متن کاملAmbiguity and Ambiguity Aversion
Consider the following choice problem, known as “Ellsberg’s three-color urn example”, or simply the “Ellsberg Paradox” (Ellsberg [7]). An urn contains 30 red balls, and 60 green and blue balls, in unspecified proportions; subjects are asked to compare (i) a bet on a red draw vs. a bet on a green draw, and (ii) a bet on a red or blue draw vs. a bet on a green or blue draw. If the subject wins a ...
متن کاملCognitive Biases, Ambiguity Aversion and Asset Pricing in Financial Markets∗
The behavior of agents in financial markets often displays biases or errors; for example, agents frequently do not compute probabilities correctly. However, we argue that these biases/errors are not always reflected in prices. In particular, we hypothesize that agents who make errors in computing probabilities lose confidence in their probability estimates when they face market prices that are ...
متن کاملEarnings Announcement Premium and Information Ambiguity
In today's investment world there is emphasis on the role of accounting information. Behavioral factors always play an important role in financial markets. All investors are not rational and their demand for riskiness of assets is influenced by their beliefs and feelings. Optimism, pessimism, self-confidence, ambiguity-aversion, etc. help changing the manner of decision-making process over time...
متن کاملThe informativeness of earnings and management’s issuance of earnings forecasts
Theory suggests that managers issue earnings forecasts to reduce information asymmetry. An earnings forecast is more effective in reducing information asymmetry if it contains earnings news that is relatively more informative about the firm’s value. We hypothesize that a manager is more likely to issue an earnings forecast if investors perceive that earnings are more informative. We measure ear...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: European Financial Management
سال: 2012
ISSN: 1354-7798
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-036x.2012.00651.x